SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Patrick's Athletic win with a probability of 36.16%. A win for Sligo Rovers had a probability of 34.9% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Patrick's Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.52%) and 0-2 (6.84%). The likeliest Sligo Rovers win was 1-0 (11.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sligo Rovers | Draw | St Patrick's Athletic |
34.9% ( -0.19) | 28.95% ( -0.03) | 36.16% ( 0.22) |
| Both teams to score 45.01% ( 0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.34% ( 0.08) | 61.66% ( -0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.52% ( 0.06) | 81.48% ( -0.06) |
| Sligo Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.68% ( -0.08) | 33.32% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.06% ( -0.09) | 69.94% ( 0.09) |
| St Patrick's Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.51% ( 0.19) | 32.5% ( -0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.98% ( 0.21) | 69.03% ( -0.21) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sligo Rovers | Draw | St Patrick's Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 11.9% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 7.35% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 6.54% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 2.69% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.4% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.51% Other @ 2.51% Total : 34.9% | 1-1 @ 13.37% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 10.82% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 4.13% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.61% Total : 28.93% | 0-1 @ 12.17% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 7.52% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 6.84% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 2.82% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 2.56% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 1.55% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.7% Total : 36.15% |
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