Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Patrick's Athletic win with a probability of 39.23%. A win for Waterford United had a probability of 33.18% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Patrick's Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.22%) and 2-0 (7.23%). The likeliest Waterford United win was 0-1 (10.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.
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