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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Patrick's Athletic win with a probability of 58.15%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Drogheda United had a probability of 19.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Patrick's Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.3%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.71%), while for a Drogheda United win it was 0-1 (5.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| St Patrick's Athletic | Draw | Drogheda United |
58.15% ( -0.08) | 22.56% ( 0.07) | 19.29% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 51.93% ( -0.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.15% ( -0.29) | 46.85% ( 0.29) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.89% ( -0.27) | 69.11% ( 0.27) |
| St Patrick's Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.19% ( -0.12) | 15.81% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.03% ( -0.23) | 44.97% ( 0.23) |
| Drogheda United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.69% ( -0.16) | 38.31% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.93% ( -0.15) | 75.07% ( 0.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| St Patrick's Athletic | Draw | Drogheda United |
| 1-0 @ 11.17% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 10.3% ( 0.04)2-1 @ 9.89% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 6.34% ( -0)3-1 @ 6.08% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 2.92% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.92% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 2.8% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.34% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 1.08% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.03% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.28% Total : 58.15% | 1-1 @ 10.71% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 6.06% ( 0.07)2-2 @ 4.74% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.11% Total : 22.55% | 0-1 @ 5.81% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 5.14% ( -0)0-2 @ 2.79% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.64% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.52% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.38% Total : 19.29% |
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