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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Patrick's Athletic win with a probability of 36.42%. A win for Dundalk had a probability of 35.92% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Patrick's Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.87%) and 2-0 (6.59%). The likeliest Dundalk win was 0-1 (10.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for St Patrick's Athletic in this match.
| Result | ||
| St Patrick's Athletic | Draw | Dundalk |
36.42% ( -0) | 27.67% ( -0.03) | 35.92% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 48.81% ( 0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43% ( 0.13) | 57% ( -0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.1% ( 0.11) | 77.9% ( -0.1) |
| St Patrick's Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.02% ( 0.06) | 29.98% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.9% ( 0.08) | 66.1% ( -0.07) |
| Dundalk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.71% ( 0.09) | 30.3% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.53% ( 0.11) | 66.47% ( -0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| St Patrick's Athletic | Draw | Dundalk |
| 1-0 @ 10.94% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 7.87% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 6.59% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.16% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.65% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.89% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 0.95% ( 0)Other @ 2.37% Total : 36.41% | 1-1 @ 13.06% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.08% ( -0.05)2-2 @ 4.7% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.82% Total : 27.67% | 0-1 @ 10.84% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 7.8% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 6.48% 1-3 @ 3.11% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.58% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.87% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 0.93% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.31% Total : 35.91% |
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