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League of Ireland Premier | Gameweek 36
Nov 3, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
UCD Bowl
D

UCD
1 - 5
Dundalk

Gallagher (6')
Dempsey (12'), Clancy (45+2'), Brennan (76')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Doyle (33'), Horgan (64'), Kelly (68'), Hoban (70', 86')
Hoban (13'), Sloggett (75')
Coverage of the League of Ireland Premier clash between University College Dublin and Dundalk.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Shelbourne 3-2 UCD
Friday, October 27 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Dundalk 2-0 Bohemians
Friday, October 27 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundalk win with a probability of 78.55%. A draw had a probability of 14.1% and a win for University College Dublin had a probability of 7.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dundalk win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (11.23%) and 0-1 (10.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.72%), while for a University College Dublin win it was 1-0 (2.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dundalk would win this match.

Result
University College DublinDrawDundalk
7.32% (0.012 0.01) 14.14% (0.164 0.16) 78.55% (-0.173 -0.17)
Both teams to score 44.35% (-0.597 -0.6)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.37% (-0.79 -0.79)37.63% (0.793 0.79)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.13% (-0.854 -0.85)59.87% (0.857 0.86)
University College Dublin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
48.05% (-0.532 -0.53)51.95% (0.535 0.54)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.03% (-0.35 -0.35)85.97% (0.355 0.36)
Dundalk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.29% (-0.212 -0.21)7.71% (0.216 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
72.53% (-0.551 -0.55)27.47% (0.555 0.56)
Score Analysis
    University College Dublin 7.32%
    Dundalk 78.54%
    Draw 14.14%
University College DublinDrawDundalk
1-0 @ 2.62% (0.06 0.06)
2-1 @ 2.2% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 7.32%
1-1 @ 6.72% (0.08 0.08)
0-0 @ 4.01% (0.151 0.15)
2-2 @ 2.82% (-0.041 -0.04)
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 14.14%
0-2 @ 13.15% (0.22 0.22)
0-3 @ 11.23% (0.06 0.06)
0-1 @ 10.26% (0.274 0.27)
1-2 @ 8.61% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
1-3 @ 7.36% (-0.074 -0.07)
0-4 @ 7.2% (-0.037 -0.04)
1-4 @ 4.71% (-0.1 -0.1)
0-5 @ 3.69% (-0.06 -0.06)
1-5 @ 2.42% (-0.079 -0.08)
2-3 @ 2.41% (-0.063 -0.06)
0-6 @ 1.58% (-0.043 -0.04)
2-4 @ 1.54% (-0.058 -0.06)
1-6 @ 1.03% (-0.045 -0.04)
Other @ 3.36%
Total : 78.54%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Shelbourne 3-2 UCD
Friday, October 27 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: UCD 0-2 Cork City
Sunday, October 22 at 3pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: UCD 1-2 Bohemians
Thursday, October 12 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Derry 6-0 UCD
Friday, September 29 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: UCD 0-0 Shamrock
Friday, September 22 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Sligo 2-0 UCD
Saturday, September 16 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Dundalk 2-0 Bohemians
Friday, October 27 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Sligo 0-2 Dundalk
Friday, October 20 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Shelbourne 1-0 Dundalk
Friday, October 6 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Dundalk 3-1 Drogheda
Friday, September 29 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Dundalk 5-0 Cork City
Monday, September 25 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: St Patrick's 3-1 Dundalk
Friday, September 22 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier


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