Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Waterford United win with a probability of 38.24%. A win for Shelbourne had a probability of 35.07% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Waterford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.3%) and 2-0 (6.69%). The likeliest Shelbourne win was 0-1 (9.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.