Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 61.67%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for MK Dons had a probability of 15.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.46%) and 2-1 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.67%), while for a MK Dons win it was 0-1 (5.99%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.
0.28) 
-0.13) 
