Bolton have won only one of their last four away games, and we think that they will be held to a draw by a Charlton side who are unbeaten in four home matches in all competitions.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 42.01%. A win for Charlton Athletic had a probability of 32.28% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.85%) and 0-2 (7.15%). The likeliest Charlton Athletic win was 1-0 (8.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.