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League One | Gameweek 29
Jan 28, 2023 at 12.30pm UK
The Valley
BL

Charlton
1 - 2
Bolton

Morgan (46')
Bonne (75')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Morley (4'), Charles (68')
Sheehan (83'), Sheehan (84'), Lee (72'), Trafford (90+6')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Charlton 2-0 Barnsley
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in League One

We said: Charlton Athletic 1-1 Bolton Wanderers

Bolton have won only one of their last four away games, and we think that they will be held to a draw by a Charlton side who are unbeaten in four home matches in all competitions. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 42.01%. A win for Charlton Athletic had a probability of 32.28% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.85%) and 0-2 (7.15%). The likeliest Charlton Athletic win was 1-0 (8.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.

Result
Charlton AthleticDrawBolton Wanderers
32.28% (0.036000000000001 0.04) 25.72% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01) 42.01% (-0.026999999999994 -0.03)
Both teams to score 54.35% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.34% (0.048000000000002 0.05)49.65% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.33% (0.042000000000002 0.04)71.67% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Charlton Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.02% (0.048000000000002 0.05)28.98% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.12% (0.058 0.06)64.87% (-0.056000000000012 -0.06)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.53% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)23.47% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.51% (0.009999999999998 0.01)57.48% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Charlton Athletic 32.28%
    Bolton Wanderers 42.01%
    Draw 25.72%
Charlton AthleticDrawBolton Wanderers
1-0 @ 8.42% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
2-1 @ 7.56% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-0 @ 5.22% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 3.12% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.26% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.15% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 0.97% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 32.28%
1-1 @ 12.21%
0-0 @ 6.8% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.48% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.09% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.72%
0-1 @ 9.86% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
1-2 @ 8.85% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
0-2 @ 7.15% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.28%
0-3 @ 3.45% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 2.65% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-4 @ 1.55% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-4 @ 1.25% (-0.002 -0)
2-4 @ 0.96% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 42.01%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Charlton 2-0 Barnsley
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Man Utd 3-0 Charlton
Tuesday, January 10 at 8pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Charlton 2-1 Lincoln
Saturday, January 7 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Portsmouth 1-3 Charlton
Sunday, January 1 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Oxford Utd 3-1 Charlton
Thursday, December 29 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Charlton 1-1 Peterborough
Monday, December 26 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Bolton 1-0 Forest Green
Tuesday, January 24 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Derby 2-1 Bolton
Saturday, January 21 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Bolton 3-0 Portsmouth
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Bolton 1-0 Portsmouth
Tuesday, January 10 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Bolton 0-0 Plymouth
Saturday, January 7 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Barnsley 0-3 Bolton
Monday, January 2 at 3pm in League One


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