SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 56.75%. A win for Oxford United had a probability of 21.64% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.66%) and 2-0 (8.59%). The likeliest Oxford United win was 1-2 (5.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bolton Wanderers | Draw | Oxford United |
56.75% ( -0.4) | 21.62% ( 0.01) | 21.64% ( 0.4) |
| Both teams to score 58.88% ( 0.57) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.56% ( 0.48) | 39.44% ( -0.48) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.22% ( 0.5) | 61.78% ( -0.49) |
| Bolton Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.24% ( 0.04) | 13.76% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.95% ( 0.07) | 41.05% ( -0.06) |
| Oxford United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.27% ( 0.64) | 31.73% ( -0.63) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.85% ( 0.73) | 68.16% ( -0.72) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bolton Wanderers | Draw | Oxford United |
| 2-1 @ 9.86% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 8.66% ( -0.18)2-0 @ 8.59% ( -0.17)3-1 @ 6.52% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 5.68% ( -0.11)3-2 @ 3.74% ( 0.06)4-1 @ 3.23% 4-0 @ 2.82% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 1.86% ( 0.03)5-1 @ 1.28% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.12% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.4% Total : 56.75% | 1-1 @ 9.94% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.66% ( 0.08)0-0 @ 4.37% ( -0.1)3-3 @ 1.43% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.22% Total : 21.62% | 1-2 @ 5.71% ( 0.08) 0-1 @ 5.01% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 2.88% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 2.18% ( 0.07)2-3 @ 2.17% ( 0.07)0-3 @ 1.1% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.59% Total : 21.64% |
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