With both teams in fine form, we expect Saturday's game to be a closely-fought contest, but we think that Plymouth will maintain their lead at the top of the league table by claiming a narrow victory.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 40.44%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 35.02% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.1%) and 0-2 (6.2%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 2-1 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
0.11) 
-0.14) 
