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League One | Gameweek 37
Mar 9, 2024 at 3pm UK
Pirelli Stadium
PU

Burton Albion
1 - 3
Peterborough

Ola-Adebomi (70')
Oshilaja (46'), Hamer (87')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Jade-Jones (56'), Knight (88'), Clarke-Harris (90+6')
Katongo (61')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cheltenham 0-0 Burton Albion
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in League One

We said: Burton Albion 0-3 Peterborough United

Burton Albion are struggling going forward in recent weeks, while their visitors are certainly not experiencing such difficulties, and with momentum back on their side, we can only envisage another dominant triumph for Peterborough United on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 62%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Burton Albion had a probability of 16.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.06%) and 1-2 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.16%), while for a Burton Albion win it was 1-0 (5.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Peterborough United would win this match.

Result
Burton AlbionDrawPeterborough United
16.62% (-0.164 -0.16) 21.38% (-0.1 -0.1) 62% (0.273 0.27)
Both teams to score 50.64% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.99% (0.146 0.15)46.01% (-0.136 -0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.69% (0.137 0.14)68.32% (-0.128 -0.13)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.08% (-0.12 -0.12)40.92% (0.13 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.52% (-0.107 -0.11)77.49% (0.116 0.12)
Peterborough United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.72% (0.137 0.14)14.29% (-0.127 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.92% (0.256 0.26)42.08% (-0.248 -0.25)
Score Analysis
    Burton Albion 16.62%
    Peterborough United 61.99%
    Draw 21.38%
Burton AlbionDrawPeterborough United
1-0 @ 5.22% (-0.049 -0.05)
2-1 @ 4.54% (-0.037 -0.04)
2-0 @ 2.33% (-0.03 -0.03)
3-1 @ 1.35% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.32% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 16.62%
1-1 @ 10.16% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
0-0 @ 5.85% (-0.034 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4.42% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 21.38%
0-1 @ 11.37% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 11.06% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
1-2 @ 9.89% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
0-3 @ 7.18% (0.057 0.06)
1-3 @ 6.42% (0.029 0.03)
0-4 @ 3.49% (0.044 0.04)
1-4 @ 3.12% (0.029 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.87% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-4 @ 1.39% (0.008 0.01)
0-5 @ 1.36% (0.023 0.02)
1-5 @ 1.21% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 61.99%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Cheltenham 0-0 Burton Albion
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Burton Albion 0-1 Carlisle
Tuesday, February 27 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Burton Albion 0-2 Northampton
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Leyton Orient 1-2 Burton Albion
Saturday, February 17 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Bristol Rovers 1-2 Burton Albion
Saturday, February 10 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Burton Albion 0-1 Lincoln
Saturday, February 3 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Peterborough 5-1 Northampton
Tuesday, March 5 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Peterborough 2-1 Exeter
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Cambridge 0-1 Peterborough
Saturday, February 24 at 12pm in League One
Last Game: Blackpool 0-3 Peterborough
Tuesday, February 20 at 8pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Peterborough 1-2 Blackpool
Saturday, February 17 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Wycombe 5-2 Peterborough
Saturday, February 10 at 3pm in League One


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