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League One | Gameweek 33
Feb 18, 2023 at 3pm UK
Abbey Stadium
OU

Cambridge
1 - 0
Oxford Utd

Jones (8')
Bennett (72'), Jones (83'), Ironside (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Baldock (29')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cambridge 1-2 Cheltenham
Tuesday, February 14 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Oxford Utd 1-3 Plymouth
Tuesday, February 14 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Cambridge United 1-3 Oxford United

Whichever way you slice it, Cambridge have been one of the worst teams in League One this season, which naturally gives almost every opponent the edge. Oxford may not be purring themselves, but Robinson's side should have enough to extend Cambridge's woeful start to 2023 by ending their own run of poor form. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 47.14%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Cambridge United had a probability of 26.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.07%) and 0-2 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.51%), while for a Cambridge United win it was 1-0 (8.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.

Result
Cambridge UnitedDrawOxford United
26.41% (0.465 0.47) 26.44% (0.035 0.04) 47.14% (-0.503 -0.5)
Both teams to score 48.78% (0.267 0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.7% (0.164 0.16)55.3% (-0.167 -0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.48% (0.136 0.14)76.52% (-0.139 -0.14)
Cambridge United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.73% (0.482 0.48)36.27% (-0.485 -0.48)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.94% (0.488 0.49)73.05% (-0.491 -0.49)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.54% (-0.16199999999999 -0.16)23.46% (0.159 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.53% (-0.235 -0.23)57.47% (0.231 0.23)
Score Analysis
    Cambridge United 26.41%
    Oxford United 47.14%
    Draw 26.44%
Cambridge UnitedDrawOxford United
1-0 @ 8.63% (0.058 0.06)
2-1 @ 6.34% (0.095000000000001 0.1)
2-0 @ 4.38% (0.086 0.09)
3-1 @ 2.15% (0.06 0.06)
3-2 @ 1.56% (0.036 0.04)
3-0 @ 1.48% (0.048 0.05)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 26.41%
1-1 @ 12.51% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 8.51% (-0.055000000000001 -0.06)
2-2 @ 4.6% (0.048 0.05)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 26.44%
0-1 @ 12.33% (-0.14 -0.14)
1-2 @ 9.07% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
0-2 @ 8.94% (-0.143 -0.14)
1-3 @ 4.38% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
0-3 @ 4.32% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-3 @ 2.22% (0.013 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.59% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.57% (-0.04 -0.04)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 47.14%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Cambridge 1-2 Cheltenham
Tuesday, February 14 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Barnsley 2-0 Cambridge
Saturday, February 11 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Cambridge 1-1 Ipswich
Saturday, February 4 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Lincoln 0-0 Cambridge
Saturday, January 28 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Shrewsbury 5-1 Cambridge
Saturday, January 21 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Cambridge 1-2 Bristol Rovers
Saturday, January 7 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Oxford Utd 1-3 Plymouth
Tuesday, February 14 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: MK Dons 1-1 Oxford Utd
Saturday, February 11 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Oxford Utd 0-1 Shrewsbury
Saturday, February 4 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Oxford Utd 1-2 Barnsley
Wednesday, February 1 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Burton Albion 2-0 Oxford Utd
Saturday, January 28 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Wycombe 2-0 Oxford Utd
Tuesday, January 24 at 7.45pm in League One


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