Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 42.58%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 32.2% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.95%) and 2-0 (7.02%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 0-1 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.
-1.79) 
1.86) 
