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League One | Gameweek 24
Dec 30, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
LNER Stadium
BL

Lincoln
1 - 1
Bolton

House (10')
Poole (22'), Mandroiu (43'), Walsh (57'), Diamond (63'), Virtue (89')
Walsh (61')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Toal (58')
Bradley (52')

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Lincoln City 0-1 Bolton Wanderers

Lincoln's form has dipped in recent weeks, and we expect Bolton to edge a tight match as neither team are involved in many goal-fests. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 38.9%. A win for Lincoln City had a probability of 33.73% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.24%) and 0-2 (7.07%). The likeliest Lincoln City win was 1-0 (10.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.

Result
Lincoln CityDrawBolton Wanderers
33.73% (-0.144 -0.14) 27.37% (0.247 0.25) 38.9% (-0.104 -0.1)
Both teams to score 49.52% (-0.788 -0.79)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.99% (-0.983 -0.98)56.02% (0.983 0.98)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.9% (-0.806 -0.81)77.1% (0.806 0.81)
Lincoln City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.8% (-0.586 -0.59)31.2% (0.587 0.59)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.46% (-0.693 -0.69)67.54% (0.691 0.69)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.97% (-0.527 -0.53)28.03% (0.528 0.53)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.32% (-0.676 -0.68)63.68% (0.675 0.68)
Score Analysis
    Lincoln City 33.73%
    Bolton Wanderers 38.9%
    Draw 27.36%
Lincoln CityDrawBolton Wanderers
1-0 @ 10.18% (0.214 0.21)
2-1 @ 7.55% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-0 @ 5.93% (0.033 0.03)
3-1 @ 2.93% (-0.076 -0.08)
3-0 @ 2.3% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.86% (-0.076 -0.08)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 33.73%
1-1 @ 12.95% (0.09 0.09)
0-0 @ 8.75% (0.326 0.33)
2-2 @ 4.8% (-0.117 -0.12)
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 27.36%
0-1 @ 11.12% (0.26 0.26)
1-2 @ 8.24% (-0.064 -0.06)
0-2 @ 7.07% (0.059 0.06)
1-3 @ 3.49% (-0.079 -0.08)
0-3 @ 3% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.04% (-0.08 -0.08)
1-4 @ 1.11% (-0.042 -0.04)
0-4 @ 0.95% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 38.9%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Burton Albion 3-0 Lincoln
Monday, December 26 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Southampton 2-1 Lincoln
Tuesday, December 20 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Lincoln 4-2 Everton U21s
Tuesday, December 13 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Lincoln 0-0 Wycombe
Saturday, December 10 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Shrewsbury 2-0 Lincoln
Saturday, December 3 at 12.30pm in League One
Last Game: Lincoln 1-1 Morecambe (4-3 pen.)
Tuesday, November 22 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Bolton 0-0 Derby
Tuesday, December 27 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Bolton 2-0 Exeter
Saturday, December 17 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Bolton 4-0 Man Utd U21s
Tuesday, December 13 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Shrewsbury 3-2 Bolton
Saturday, December 10 at 12.30pm in League One
Last Game: Bolton 1-1 Bristol Rovers
Friday, December 2 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Bolton 3-2 Barrow
Tuesday, November 22 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy


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