Plymouth Argyle are certainly the favourites heading into this match due to their league positioning and recent form, which is something that should lead to them taking all three points.
The poor performances that Crewe Alexandra have displayed lately and their lack of goals will likely prove to be a problem for them within this particular fixture.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 43.75%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 30.91% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.05%) and 0-2 (7.38%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 1-0 (7.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Plymouth Argyle would win this match.
