Exeter will be feeling good about themselves at the moment due to their strong form, and they will be hosting a Stevenage side that are currently struggling to put wins on the board. This match could go either way, but we are expecting the points to be shared in a low-scoring draw on Saturday.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 43.1%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 30.14% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.77%) and 0-2 (7.91%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 1-0 (9.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.
0.04) 
-0.06) 
