Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 58.93%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Exeter City had a probability of 19.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.94%) and 2-0 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.19%), while for a Exeter City win it was 1-2 (5.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.
-0.19) 
0.04) 
