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League One | Gameweek 20
Dec 3, 2022 at 1pm UK
The New Lawn
CU

Forest Green
2 - 1
Cambridge

March (37'), Wickham (90+3' pen.)
Casey (45+1'), Boyes (78'), O'Keeffe (89'), McGeouch (90+6')
O'Keeffe (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Janneh (89')
Smith (90+2')

We said: Forest Green Rovers 2-0 Cambridge United

Forest Green may be unfortunately placed at the bottom of the league table, making them strong relegation candidates. However, manager Burchnall will look to take advantage against a Cambridge side seemingly incapable of scoring goals either home or away. Another strong outing for the Green's strike partnership of Wickham and March should be enough to topple Cambridge, and we predict winning goals from the pair of them this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Forest Green Rovers win with a probability of 50.3%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Cambridge United had a probability of 24.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a Forest Green Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.48%) and 2-0 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.91%), while for a Cambridge United win it was 0-1 (7.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Forest Green Rovers would win this match.

Result
Forest Green RoversDrawCambridge United
50.3% (0.879 0.88) 25.05% (-0.306 -0.31) 24.65% (-0.574 -0.57)
Both teams to score 51.35% (0.364 0.36)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.83% (0.753 0.75)51.17% (-0.756 -0.76)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.98% (0.656 0.66)73.01% (-0.65700000000001 -0.66)
Forest Green Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.64% (0.67400000000001 0.67)20.35% (-0.674 -0.67)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.24% (1.06 1.06)52.75% (-1.062 -1.06)
Cambridge United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.47% (-0.087000000000003 -0.09)35.52% (0.086000000000006 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.71% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)72.29% (0.088999999999999 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Forest Green Rovers 50.3%
    Cambridge United 24.65%
    Draw 25.04%
Forest Green RoversDrawCambridge United
1-0 @ 11.51% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-1 @ 9.48% (0.083 0.08)
2-0 @ 9.16% (0.102 0.1)
3-1 @ 5.03% (0.146 0.15)
3-0 @ 4.86% (0.153 0.15)
3-2 @ 2.6% (0.07 0.07)
4-1 @ 2% (0.098 0.1)
4-0 @ 1.94% (0.099 0.1)
4-2 @ 1.04% (0.048 0.05)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 50.3%
1-1 @ 11.91% (-0.14 -0.14)
0-0 @ 7.23% (-0.222 -0.22)
2-2 @ 4.91% (0.032 0.03)
Other @ 1%
Total : 25.04%
0-1 @ 7.48% (-0.247 -0.25)
1-2 @ 6.16% (-0.088 -0.09)
0-2 @ 3.87% (-0.137 -0.14)
1-3 @ 2.13% (-0.036 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.69% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.34% (-0.05 -0.05)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 24.65%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Forest Green 2-1 Alvechurch
Saturday, November 26 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Forest Green 1-1 Cheltenham (3-4 pen.)
Tuesday, November 22 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Oxford Utd 1-1 Forest Green
Saturday, November 19 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Forest Green 0-2 Wycombe
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: South Shields 0-2 Forest Green
Saturday, November 5 at 12pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Barnsley 2-0 Forest Green
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Cambridge 1-2 Grimsby Town
Saturday, November 26 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Cambridge 0-1 Accrington
Saturday, November 19 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Cambridge 0-0 Curzon Ashton (4-2 pen.)
Tuesday, November 15 at 7.45pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Cambridge 0-0 Bolton
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Curzon Ashton 0-0 Cambridge
Sunday, November 6 at 2pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Peterborough 1-0 Cambridge
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in League One


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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