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League One | Gameweek 19
Nov 19, 2022 at 3pm UK
LNER Stadium
M

Lincoln
2 - 1
Morecambe

Walsh (17'), House (67')
Oakley-Boothe (83'), Robson (86'), Sorensen (90+2'), Hopper (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Weir (81')
Weir (89')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lincoln 1-1 Plymouth
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Morecambe 1-1 Portsmouth
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in League One

We said: Lincoln City 2-0 Morecambe

Morecambe have been performing well on the road as of late, but they are heading to face a team who are undefeated at home, creating a tough test. Lincoln City are a strong side, and their attacking qualities will likely prove to be too much for their opponents on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 53.05%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Morecambe had a probability of 21.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.31%) and 2-1 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.9%), while for a Morecambe win it was 0-1 (7.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lincoln City would win this match.

Result
Lincoln CityDrawMorecambe
53.05% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05) 25.21% (0.017999999999997 0.02) 21.74% (0.026 0.03)
Both teams to score 47.62% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.57% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)54.43% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.2% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)75.8% (0.034000000000006 0.03)
Lincoln City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.48% (-0.037000000000006 -0.04)20.52% (0.034999999999997 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.98% (-0.056000000000004 -0.06)53.02% (0.053999999999995 0.05)
Morecambe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.92% (0.0040000000000049 0)40.08% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.27% (0.0040000000000013 0)76.72% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Lincoln City 53.04%
    Morecambe 21.74%
    Draw 25.2%
Lincoln CityDrawMorecambe
1-0 @ 13.02% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 10.31% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.43% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
3-0 @ 5.45% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.98% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.28% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 2.16% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.97% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
4-2 @ 0.9% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 53.04%
1-1 @ 11.9%
0-0 @ 8.22% (0.013 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.31% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 25.2%
0-1 @ 7.52% (0.013 0.01)
1-2 @ 5.44% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-2 @ 3.44% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.66% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.31%
0-3 @ 1.05% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.32%
Total : 21.74%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Lincoln 1-1 Plymouth
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Bristol City 1-3 Lincoln
Tuesday, November 8 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Chippenham 1-0 Lincoln
Saturday, November 5 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Lincoln 1-1 Accrington
Tuesday, November 1 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Port Vale 1-0 Lincoln
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Barnsley 0-1 Lincoln
Tuesday, October 25 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Morecambe 1-1 Portsmouth
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: MK Dons 2-0 Morecambe
Tuesday, November 8 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Sheff Weds 2-0 Morecambe
Friday, November 4 at 7.45pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Morecambe 1-1 Derby
Tuesday, November 1 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Wycombe 1-1 Morecambe
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Cheltenham 1-0 Morecambe
Tuesday, October 25 at 7.45pm in League One


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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