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League One | Gameweek 24
Dec 26, 2023 at 3pm UK
LNER Stadium
BL

Lincoln
0 - 1
Bolton


Makama (35'), Bishop (53'), Eyoma (88')
Mandroiu (71')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Toal (89')
Dempsey (90+2')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Derby 3-1 Lincoln
Thursday, December 21 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Lincoln City 1-2 Bolton Wanderers

This is a tough one to call, with both sides struggling to show enough consistency in recent matches. However, we have to consider Bolton's dominance in recent meetings between the two and their superior position in the table. We are predicting a tight match, but the Trotters should edge it out in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 46.81%. A win for Lincoln City had a probability of 26.63% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.03%) and 0-2 (8.9%). The likeliest Lincoln City win was 1-0 (8.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Bolton Wanderers in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Bolton Wanderers.

Result
Lincoln CityDrawBolton Wanderers
26.63% (-0.15 -0.15) 26.57% (-0.026 -0.03) 46.81% (0.178 0.18)
Both teams to score 48.6% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.38% (0.013000000000005 0.01)55.62% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.22% (0.010999999999999 0.01)76.78% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Lincoln City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.74% (-0.118 -0.12)36.27% (0.121 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.95% (-0.119 -0.12)73.05% (0.12100000000001 0.12)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.25% (0.090000000000003 0.09)23.75% (-0.089000000000002 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.1% (0.127 0.13)57.9% (-0.125 -0.13)
Score Analysis
    Lincoln City 26.63%
    Bolton Wanderers 46.81%
    Draw 26.57%
Lincoln CityDrawBolton Wanderers
1-0 @ 8.74% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-1 @ 6.37% (-0.027 -0.03)
2-0 @ 4.43% (-0.031 -0.03)
3-1 @ 2.15% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.55% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.5% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 26.63%
1-1 @ 12.56% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.61% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-2 @ 4.58% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 26.57%
0-1 @ 12.38% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
1-2 @ 9.03% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
0-2 @ 8.9% (0.042 0.04)
1-3 @ 4.33% (0.017 0.02)
0-3 @ 4.26% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.19% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-4 @ 1.55% (0.01 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.53% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 46.81%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Derby 3-1 Lincoln
Thursday, December 21 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Lincoln 1-1 Reading
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Accrington 1-0 Lincoln
Tuesday, December 12 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Wigan 0-0 Lincoln
Saturday, December 9 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Cambridge 0-3 Lincoln
Tuesday, November 28 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Lincoln 2-2 Barnsley
Saturday, November 25 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Bolton 3-2 Leyton Orient
Saturday, December 23 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Bolton 1-2 Bristol Rovers
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Portsmouth 2-0 Bolton
Monday, December 11 at 8pm in League One
Last Game: Bolton 2-0 Port Vale
Tuesday, December 5 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Bolton 5-1 Harrogate
Saturday, December 2 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Oxford Utd 0-0 Bolton
Tuesday, November 28 at 7.45pm in League One


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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