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League One | Gameweek 21
Mar 14, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Mazuma Stadium
CA

Morecambe
1 - 4
Charlton

Love (61')
Weir (51')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Leaburn (17'), Taylor (21', 43'), Fraser (69')
Thomas (24'), Morgan (74')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Shrewsbury 3-1 Morecambe
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Charlton 1-1 Accrington
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in League One

We said: Morecambe 1-1 Charlton Athletic

With neither side in particularly good form, that may suit the hosts as they look to cause an upset. However, we think this will be a tightly-contested affair at the Mazuma Stadium, as Charlton have only won once on their travels while Morecambe have the second-worst home record in the division. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlton Athletic win with a probability of 38.79%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 34.58% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Charlton Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.37%) and 0-2 (6.79%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 1-0 (9.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Charlton Athletic would win this match.

Result
MorecambeDrawCharlton Athletic
34.58% (0.030000000000001 0.03) 26.64% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 38.79% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
Both teams to score 51.94% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.99% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)53.01% (0.035000000000004 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.4% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)74.6% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Morecambe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.84% (0.0030000000000001 0)29.16%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.9% (0.0030000000000001 0)65.1% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Charlton Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.33% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)26.67% (0.035999999999998 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.08% (-0.044999999999995 -0.04)61.92% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Morecambe 34.58%
    Charlton Athletic 38.78%
    Draw 26.63%
MorecambeDrawCharlton Athletic
1-0 @ 9.59% (0.014000000000001 0.01)
2-1 @ 7.81% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 5.91% (0.008 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.21% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 2.43% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 2.12% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 0.99% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 34.58%
1-1 @ 12.66%
0-0 @ 7.78% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.16% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
3-3 @ 0.93% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.63%
0-1 @ 10.27%
1-2 @ 8.37% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 6.79% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 3.69% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.99% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 2.27% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 1.22% (-0.004 -0)
0-4 @ 0.99% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 38.78%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Shrewsbury 3-1 Morecambe
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Cambridge 1-1 Morecambe
Tuesday, March 7 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Morecambe 0-0 Bolton
Saturday, March 4 at 12.30pm in League One
Last Game: Fleetwood 1-0 Morecambe
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Morecambe 1-0 Port Vale
Tuesday, February 21 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Morecambe 0-3 Peterborough
Saturday, February 18 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Charlton 1-1 Accrington
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Plymouth 2-0 Charlton
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Peterborough 0-0 Charlton
Tuesday, February 28 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Charlton 0-1 Sheff Weds
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Derby 2-0 Charlton
Saturday, February 18 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Forest Green 0-1 Charlton
Tuesday, February 14 at 7.45pm in League One


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