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League One | Gameweek 28
Jan 21, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Kassam Stadium
IL

Oxford Utd
2 - 1
Ipswich

Wildschut (34'), Brannagan (83')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Davis (38')
Donacien (81')

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Oxford United 1-2 Ipswich Town

Ipswich's most recent league win took place against Oxford on Boxing Day, and although we do not think it will be as one-sided as that 3-0 scoreline, we still believe that the Tractor Boys will draw upon that experience to claim all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 52.01%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Oxford United had a probability of 23.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.67%) and 0-2 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.45%), while for a Oxford United win it was 1-0 (6.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.

Result
Oxford UnitedDrawIpswich Town
23.85% (0.094999999999999 0.09) 24.13% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01) 52.01% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
Both teams to score 53.34% (0.138 0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.87% (0.131 0.13)48.13% (-0.131 -0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.71% (0.121 0.12)70.29% (-0.11999999999999 -0.12)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.43% (0.155 0.16)34.57% (-0.15499999999999 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.71% (0.166 0.17)71.29% (-0.164 -0.16)
Ipswich Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.52% (0.016999999999996 0.02)18.48% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.31% (0.027999999999999 0.03)49.69% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Oxford United 23.85%
    Ipswich Town 52.01%
    Draw 24.12%
Oxford UnitedDrawIpswich Town
1-0 @ 6.79% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-1 @ 6.09% (0.022 0.02)
2-0 @ 3.61% (0.011 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.16% (0.017 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.82% (0.015 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.28% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 23.85%
1-1 @ 11.45% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.39% (-0.034 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.14% (0.022 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.02% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 24.12%
0-1 @ 10.78% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
1-2 @ 9.67% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 9.11% (-0.039 -0.04)
1-3 @ 5.44% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 5.12% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.89% (0.013 0.01)
1-4 @ 2.3% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-4 @ 2.16% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.22% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 3.31%
Total : 52.01%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Fleetwood 1-2 Oxford Utd
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Oxford Utd 0-3 Arsenal
Monday, January 9 at 8pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Oxford Utd 0-1 Exeter
Sunday, January 1 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Oxford Utd 3-1 Charlton
Thursday, December 29 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Ipswich 3-0 Oxford Utd
Monday, December 26 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Sheff Weds 0-0 Oxford Utd
Saturday, December 17 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Ipswich 1-1 Plymouth
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Ipswich 4-1 Rotherham
Saturday, January 7 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Lincoln 1-1 Ipswich
Monday, January 2 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Portsmouth 2-2 Ipswich
Thursday, December 29 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Ipswich 3-0 Oxford Utd
Monday, December 26 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Wycombe 1-0 Ipswich
Saturday, December 17 at 3pm in League One


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