Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 56.46%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 20.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.89%) and 2-0 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.74%), while for a Fleetwood Town win it was 0-1 (5.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
-0.47) 
0.15) 
