Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 59.5%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 18.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.47%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.48%), while for an Accrington Stanley win it was 0-1 (5.54%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portsmouth would win this match.
