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League One | Gameweek 29
Jan 28, 2023 at 3pm UK
Montgomery Waters Meadow
FG

Shrewsbury
2 - 1
Forest Green

Pyke (90+4'), Bowman (90+8')
Saydee (90+6'), Flanagan (64')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Garrick (18')
Godwin-Malife (2'), Bakayoko (12')

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Shrewsbury Town 3-1 Forest Green Rovers

Shrewsbury look destined to extend their winning streak to four games when they host Forest Green, whose last victory came all the way back on December 10. Given that Rovers have scored in five of their last six games, Shrewsbury could struggle to keep a clean sheet on Saturday, but the hosts are expected to outscore the visitors with ease. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shrewsbury Town win with a probability of 46.11%. A win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 28.17% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shrewsbury Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.18%) and 2-0 (8.24%). The likeliest Forest Green Rovers win was 0-1 (8.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Shrewsbury Town would win this match.

Result
Shrewsbury TownDrawForest Green Rovers
46.11% (-0.394 -0.39) 25.72% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04) 28.17% (0.44 0.44)
Both teams to score 52.23% (0.443 0.44)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.56% (0.432 0.43)51.44% (-0.43 -0.43)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.75% (0.376 0.38)73.25% (-0.372 -0.37)
Shrewsbury Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.71% (0.0040000000000049 0)22.28%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.26% (0.0030000000000001 0)55.74% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Forest Green Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.2% (0.569 0.57)32.79% (-0.565 -0.56)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.64% (0.627 0.63)69.36% (-0.623 -0.62)
Score Analysis
    Shrewsbury Town 46.11%
    Forest Green Rovers 28.17%
    Draw 25.72%
Shrewsbury TownDrawForest Green Rovers
1-0 @ 10.97% (-0.19 -0.19)
2-1 @ 9.18% (-0.014999999999999 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.24% (-0.142 -0.14)
3-1 @ 4.6% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.12% (-0.071 -0.07)
3-2 @ 2.56% (0.036 0.04)
4-1 @ 1.73% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 1.55% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-2 @ 0.96% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 46.11%
1-1 @ 12.23% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 7.31% (-0.126 -0.13)
2-2 @ 5.12% (0.071 0.07)
3-3 @ 0.95% (0.028 0.03)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.72%
0-1 @ 8.15% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6.82% (0.094 0.09)
0-2 @ 4.54% (0.061999999999999 0.06)
1-3 @ 2.53% (0.073 0.07)
2-3 @ 1.9% (0.055 0.05)
0-3 @ 1.69% (0.049 0.05)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 28.17%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: MK Dons 0-1 Shrewsbury
Tuesday, January 24 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Shrewsbury 5-1 Cambridge
Saturday, January 21 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Burton Albion 0-4 Shrewsbury
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Shrewsbury 1-2 Sunderland
Saturday, January 7 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Shrewsbury 0-3 Fleetwood
Sunday, January 1 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Shrewsbury 0-1 Cheltenham
Thursday, December 29 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Bolton 1-0 Forest Green
Tuesday, January 24 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Forest Green 1-2 MK Dons
Saturday, January 21 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Forest Green 1-2 Birmingham
Tuesday, January 17 at 7.45pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Exeter 1-1 Forest Green
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Forest Green 1-3 Port Vale
Sunday, January 1 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Forest Green 1-2 Burton Albion
Thursday, December 29 at 7.45pm in League One


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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