Despite the visitors being likely to make plenty of changes for their cup tie, we expect Sunderland to have too much strength-in-depth for Shrewsbury, who have seen their form significantly dip in recent outings.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 54.89%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 20.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.56%) and 1-2 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.6%), while for a Shrewsbury Town win it was 1-0 (7.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Sunderland in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Sunderland.
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