Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol Rovers win with a probability of 42.7%. A win for Bradford City had a probability of 30.18% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bristol Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (7.95%). The likeliest Bradford City win was 0-1 (9.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bristol Rovers would win this match.
