Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colchester United win with a probability of 48.8%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Scunthorpe United had a probability of 24.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colchester United win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.84%) and 2-1 (8.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.59%), while for a Scunthorpe United win it was 0-1 (8.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Colchester United would win this match.
