Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 44.84%. A win for Walsall had a probability of 32.34% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.69%) and 2-0 (6%). The likeliest Walsall win was 1-2 (7.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.
-0.45) 
0.08) 
