Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 54.72%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Crawley Town had a probability of 20.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.32%) and 2-1 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.53%), while for a Crawley Town win it was 0-1 (6.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood.
0.11) 
-0.04) 
