Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 51.85%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Gillingham had a probability of 22.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.38%) and 2-1 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.18%), while for a Gillingham win it was 0-1 (8.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.
0.25) 
-0.05) 
