SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 58.83%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 20.95% and a draw had a probability of 20.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.79%) and 0-1 (7.14%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 2-1 (5.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.84%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Harrogate Town | Draw | Notts County |
20.95% ( 0.32) | 20.21% ( 0.08) | 58.83% ( -0.41) |
| Both teams to score 62.99% ( 0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.4% ( 0.06) | 33.6% ( -0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.59% ( 0.07) | 55.41% ( -0.07) |
| Harrogate Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.01% ( 0.32) | 28.99% ( -0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.11% ( 0.4) | 64.88% ( -0.4) |
| Notts County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.71% ( -0.09) | 11.29% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64.09% ( -0.19) | 35.91% ( 0.19) |
| Score Analysis |
| Harrogate Town | Draw | Notts County |
| 2-1 @ 5.47% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 4.05% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 2.51% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 2.46% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 2.26% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 1.04% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.16% Total : 20.95% | 1-1 @ 8.84% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.97% ( 0.04)0-0 @ 3.27% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.79% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.34% Total : 20.21% | 1-2 @ 9.64% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 7.79% ( -0.08)0-1 @ 7.14% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 7.01% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 5.66% ( -0.08)2-3 @ 4.34% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 3.82% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 3.09% ( -0.05)2-4 @ 2.37% ( 0)1-5 @ 1.67% ( -0.02)0-5 @ 1.35% ( -0.03)2-5 @ 1.03% ( -0)3-4 @ 0.98% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.96% Total : 58.84% |
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