Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 44.84%. A win for Salford City had a probability of 31.63% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.62%) and 0-2 (6.51%). The likeliest Salford City win was 2-1 (7.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that MK Dons would win this match.
-0.02) 
0.02) 
