Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 54.24%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 22.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.81%) and 2-0 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.01%), while for a Harrogate Town win it was 0-1 (6.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11% likelihood.
0.52) 
-0.39) 
