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League Two | Gameweek 27
Jan 6, 2024 at 1pm UK
CNG Stadium
DR

Harrogate
3 - 1
Doncaster

Folarin (17'), Daly (66'), Odoh (74')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Rowe (19')
Sterry (38'), Nixon (77'), Olowu (85')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Doncaster 3-0 MK Dons
Monday, January 1 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Harrogate Town 2-0 Doncaster Rovers

Despite struggles at home this season, Harrogate have shown signs of turning that around with two fine wins at home around the festive period. Given that only Sutton have taken fewer points than Donny's eight on the road from a possible 36 this season suggests the visitors are slightly fortunate not many sides in League Two are in action this weekend, as this could be another tough afternoon. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Harrogate Town win with a probability of 40.18%. A win for Doncaster Rovers had a probability of 34.97% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Harrogate Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.43%) and 2-0 (6.31%). The likeliest Doncaster Rovers win was 1-2 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Harrogate Town would win this match.

Result
Harrogate TownDrawDoncaster Rovers
40.18% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01) 24.85% (0.013999999999999 0.01) 34.97% (-0.0059999999999931 -0.01)
Both teams to score 58.07% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.85% (-0.050000000000004 -0.05)45.15% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.5% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)67.49% (0.046000000000006 0.05)
Harrogate Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.6% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)22.4% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.09% (-0.038999999999994 -0.04)55.91% (0.035999999999994 0.04)
Doncaster Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.84% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)25.16% (0.025000000000002 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.12% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)59.88% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Harrogate Town 40.18%
    Doncaster Rovers 34.97%
    Draw 24.84%
Harrogate TownDrawDoncaster Rovers
2-1 @ 8.7% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-0 @ 8.43% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.31% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-1 @ 4.34% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-0 @ 3.15%
3-2 @ 3% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 1.62% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-0 @ 1.18% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.12% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 40.18%
1-1 @ 11.63% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.01% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-0 @ 5.64% (0.012 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.38% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.84%
1-2 @ 8.03% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
0-1 @ 7.78% (0.011 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.37% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 3.69% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 2.76% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 2.47%
1-4 @ 1.27% (-0.002 -0)
2-4 @ 0.95% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 34.97%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Morecambe 2-2 Harrogate
Monday, January 1 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Harrogate 0-2 Tranmere
Friday, December 29 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Harrogate 2-1 Accrington
Tuesday, December 26 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Grimsby Town 1-2 Harrogate
Saturday, December 23 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Harrogate 3-1 Notts County
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Bolton 5-1 Harrogate
Saturday, December 2 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Doncaster 3-0 MK Dons
Monday, January 1 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Mansfield 1-1 Doncaster
Friday, December 29 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Notts County 3-0 Doncaster
Tuesday, December 26 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Doncaster 1-3 Bradford
Friday, December 22 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Doncaster 0-5 Morecambe
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Accrington 0-0 Doncaster
Saturday, December 9 at 3pm in League Two


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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