SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adana Demirspor win with a probability of 50.56%. A win for Fatih Karagumruk had a probability of 26.64% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Adana Demirspor win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.13%) and 2-0 (7.48%). The likeliest Fatih Karagumruk win was 1-2 (6.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Adana Demirspor would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Adana Demirspor | Draw | Fatih Karagumruk |
50.56% ( 0.16) | 22.8% ( 0.04) | 26.64% ( -0.2) |
| Both teams to score 60.73% ( -0.33) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.31% ( -0.36) | 39.69% ( 0.36) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.96% ( -0.37) | 62.04% ( 0.38) |
| Adana Demirspor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.12% ( -0.08) | 15.88% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.89% ( -0.14) | 45.1% ( 0.14) |
| Fatih Karagumruk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.19% ( -0.33) | 27.81% ( 0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.6% ( -0.42) | 63.4% ( 0.43) |
| Score Analysis |
| Adana Demirspor | Draw | Fatih Karagumruk |
| 2-1 @ 9.57% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 8.13% ( 0.12)2-0 @ 7.48% ( 0.09)3-1 @ 5.87% ( -0)3-0 @ 4.59% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 3.76% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 2.7% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.11% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.73% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 0.99% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.65% Total : 50.56% | 1-1 @ 10.4% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 6.12% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 4.42% ( 0.07)3-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.26% Total : 22.8% | 1-2 @ 6.66% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 5.65% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 3.62% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.84% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 2.61% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 1.54% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.81% Total : 26.64% |
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