Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 19
Jun 3, 2023 at 6pm UK
Estadio Julio César Villagra
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Belgrano and Velez Sarsfield.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belgrano win with a probability of 39.26%. A draw had a probability of 31.7% and a win for Velez Sarsfield had a probability of 29.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Belgrano win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.18%) and 2-1 (6.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (15.13%), while for a Velez Sarsfield win it was 0-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Belgrano would win this match.
| Result |
| Belgrano | Draw | Velez Sarsfield |
39.26% ( -0.86) | 31.73% ( 0.86) | 29.01% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 36.98% ( -1.92) |
| 29.31% ( -2.27) | 70.69% ( 2.27) |
| 12.33% ( -1.46) | 87.67% ( 1.46) |
| 64.65% ( -1.79) | 35.35% ( 1.79) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 27.89% ( -1.91) | 72.11% ( 1.91) |
| 57.19% ( -1.35) | 42.81% ( 1.35) |
