Boavista have started this Primeira Liga campaign impressively, and they will be confident of making it nine points from a possible nine this Sunday. Casa Pia posed a threat against Sporting Lisbon last time out, but we believe the Geese will suffer back-to-back league defeats due to the attacking talents of Boavista. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boavista win with a probability of 38.23%. A win for Casa Pia had a probability of 34.19% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Boavista win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.12%) and 2-0 (6.98%). The likeliest Casa Pia win was 0-1 (10.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.

Result
Boavista	Draw	Casa Pia
38.23% ( 0.34)	27.58% ( -0)	34.19% ( -0.33)

Both teams to score 48.95% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.24% (

-0.02)

56.76% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.29% (

-0.01)

77.71% (

0.01)

Boavista Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.22% (

0.19)

28.78% (

-0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.38% (

0.24)

64.62% (

-0.24)

Casa Pia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.72% (

-0.23)

31.28% (

0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.37% (

-0.26)

67.63% (

0.26)

Score Analysis

Boavista 38.23%

Casa Pia 34.19%

Draw 27.58%

Boavista	Draw	Casa Pia
1-0 @ 11.21% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 8.12% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 6.98% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 3.37% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 2.9% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 1.96% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.05% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 0.9% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.74% Total : 38.23%	1-1 @ 13.03% 0-0 @ 9% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.72% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.83% Total : 27.58%	0-1 @ 10.46% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 7.57% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 6.08% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 2.93% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 2.36% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.83% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.96% Total : 34.19%