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Primeira Liga | Gameweek 2
Aug 18, 2023 at 8.15pm UK
Estadio Pina Manique
SL

Casa Pia
1 - 2
Sporting Lisbon

Clayton (58')
Mukendi (45+12'), Varela (55'), Neto (90'), Geraldes (90+8')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Paulinho (3', 61')
Inacio (72')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Farense 0-3 Casa Pia
Saturday, August 12 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Casa Pia 1-2 Sporting Lisbon

Although they found it tough against Vizela on the opening day of the season, Sporting Lisbon's quality ultimately shone through, and they were able to pick up all three points. Casa Pia will be no pushovers, given that they have made a great start to the campaign, but we expect the visitors to record a narrow victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 62.66%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Casa Pia had a probability of 15.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.62%) and 1-2 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.21%), while for a Casa Pia win it was 1-0 (5.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Sporting Lisbon in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Sporting Lisbon.

Result
Casa PiaDrawSporting Lisbon
15.85% (0.029 0.03) 21.49% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 62.66% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Both teams to score 48.62% (0.064999999999998 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.15% (0.052000000000007 0.05)47.85% (-0.052000000000007 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.97% (0.048999999999999 0.05)70.03% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)
Casa Pia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.98% (0.070999999999998 0.07)43.02% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.69% (0.059999999999999 0.06)79.31% (-0.061000000000007 -0.06)
Sporting Lisbon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.32% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)14.67% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.16% (0.015999999999998 0.02)42.84% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Casa Pia 15.85%
    Sporting Lisbon 62.65%
    Draw 21.48%
Casa PiaDrawSporting Lisbon
1-0 @ 5.33% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-1 @ 4.31% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
2-0 @ 2.25% (0.004 0)
3-1 @ 1.21% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 1.16% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 1.59%
Total : 15.85%
1-1 @ 10.21%
0-0 @ 6.31% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.14% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 21.48%
0-1 @ 12.11% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
0-2 @ 11.62% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
1-2 @ 9.81% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 7.44% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-3 @ 6.27% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-4 @ 3.57% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 3.01% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 2.65% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
0-5 @ 1.37% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
2-4 @ 1.27% (0.004 0)
1-5 @ 1.16% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 62.65%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Farense 0-3 Casa Pia
Saturday, August 12 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Torreense 0-2 Casa Pia
Sunday, July 30 at 6pm in Taca da Liga
Last Game: Vilaverdense 0-2 Casa Pia
Sunday, July 23 at 6pm in Taca da Liga
Last Game: Gil Vicente 1-0 Casa Pia
Saturday, May 27 at 12.45pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Casa Pia 2-2 Estoril
Sunday, May 21 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Porto 2-1 Casa Pia
Sunday, May 14 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 3-2 Vizela
Saturday, August 12 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Everton 1-0 Sporting Lisbon
Saturday, August 5 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Vizela 1-2 Sporting Lisbon
Friday, May 26 at 9.15pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 2-2 Benfica
Sunday, May 21 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 2-1 Maritimo
Saturday, May 13 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Pacos de Ferreira 0-4 Sporting Lisbon
Sunday, May 7 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga


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