SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Changchun Yatai win with a probability of 42.01%. A win for Meizhou Hakka had a probability of 32.9% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Changchun Yatai win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.9%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest Meizhou Hakka win was 0-1 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Changchun Yatai | Draw | Meizhou Hakka |
42.01% ( 0.67) | 25.08% ( 0.19) | 32.9% ( -0.86) |
| Both teams to score 56.7% ( -0.94) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.29% ( -1.11) | 46.71% ( 1.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.03% ( -1.05) | 68.97% ( 1.04) |
| Changchun Yatai Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.82% ( -0.16) | 22.18% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.41% ( -0.23) | 55.59% ( 0.23) |
| Meizhou Hakka Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.86% ( -1.06) | 27.14% ( 1.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.47% ( -1.4) | 62.53% ( 1.4) |
| Score Analysis |
| Changchun Yatai | Draw | Meizhou Hakka |
| 1-0 @ 9.07% ( 0.38) 2-1 @ 8.9% ( 0.07)2-0 @ 6.83% ( 0.25)3-1 @ 4.47% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.43% ( 0.11)3-2 @ 2.91% ( -0.08)4-1 @ 1.68% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.29% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 1.1% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.35% Total : 42.01% | 1-1 @ 11.82% ( 0.14) 0-0 @ 6.02% ( 0.27)2-2 @ 5.81% ( -0.13)3-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.08% | 0-1 @ 7.85% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 7.71% ( -0.14)0-2 @ 5.12% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 3.35% ( -0.17)2-3 @ 2.52% ( -0.14)0-3 @ 2.23% ( -0.1)1-4 @ 1.09% ( -0.09)Other @ 3.03% Total : 32.9% |
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