Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Meizhou Hakka win with a probability of 42.33%. A win for Changchun Yatai had a probability of 31.74% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Meizhou Hakka win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.85%) and 0-2 (7.33%). The likeliest Changchun Yatai win was 1-0 (8.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.
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