Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Meizhou Hakka win with a probability of 41.33%. A win for Shanghai Shenhua had a probability of 31.96% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Meizhou Hakka win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.63%) and 2-0 (7.43%). The likeliest Shanghai Shenhua win was 0-1 (9.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Meizhou Hakka | Draw | Shanghai Shenhua |
41.33% ( -1.51) | 26.71% ( -0.02) | 31.96% ( 1.53) |
Both teams to score 51.07% ( 0.67) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.18% ( 0.57) | 53.82% ( -0.58) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.71% ( 0.48) | 75.29% ( -0.48) |
Meizhou Hakka Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.33% ( -0.53) | 25.67% ( 0.52) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.42% ( -0.72) | 60.58% ( 0.71) |
Shanghai Shenhua Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.71% ( 1.37) | 31.28% ( -1.38) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.36% ( 1.57) | 67.64% ( -1.57) |
Score Analysis |
Meizhou Hakka | Draw | Shanghai Shenhua |
1-0 @ 10.92% ( -0.41) 2-1 @ 8.63% ( -0.13) 2-0 @ 7.43% ( -0.4) 3-1 @ 3.91% ( -0.12) 3-0 @ 3.37% ( -0.24) 3-2 @ 2.27% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.33% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 1.14% ( -0.1) Other @ 2.34% Total : 41.33% | 1-1 @ 12.69% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.03% ( -0.18) 2-2 @ 5.01% ( 0.11) Other @ 0.97% Total : 26.71% | 0-1 @ 9.33% ( 0.14) 1-2 @ 7.37% ( 0.27) 0-2 @ 5.42% ( 0.28) 1-3 @ 2.86% ( 0.21) 0-3 @ 2.1% ( 0.18) 2-3 @ 1.94% ( 0.11) Other @ 2.93% Total : 31.96% |
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