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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fulham Under-21s win with a probability of 39.22%. A win for Chelsea Under-21s had a probability of 38.37% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fulham Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.45%) and 1-3 (4.75%). The likeliest Chelsea Under-21s win was 2-1 (8.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Chelsea Under-21s | Draw | Fulham Under-21s |
38.37% ( 0.45) | 22.41% ( 0.32) | 39.22% ( -0.77) |
| Both teams to score 67.74% ( -1.29) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.25% ( -1.66) | 32.75% ( 1.66) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.56% ( -1.95) | 54.43% ( 1.94) |
| Chelsea Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.12% ( -0.53) | 17.87% ( 0.53) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.35% ( -0.92) | 48.64% ( 0.91) |
| Fulham Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.49% ( -1.03) | 17.51% ( 1.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.98% ( -1.82) | 48.02% ( 1.81) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chelsea Under-21s | Draw | Fulham Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 8.08% ( 0.17) 1-0 @ 5.39% ( 0.38)3-1 @ 4.64% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 4.64% ( 0.25)3-2 @ 4.04% ( -0.12)3-0 @ 2.66% ( 0.1)4-1 @ 2% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.74% ( -0.08)4-0 @ 1.15% ( 0.02)4-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.09)Other @ 3.02% Total : 38.37% | 1-1 @ 9.39% ( 0.36) 2-2 @ 7.04% ( -0.09)0-0 @ 3.13% ( 0.27)3-3 @ 2.35% ( -0.15)Other @ 0.5% Total : 22.41% | 1-2 @ 8.18% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 5.45% ( 0.3)1-3 @ 4.75% ( -0.14)0-2 @ 4.75% ( 0.11)2-3 @ 4.09% ( -0.19)0-3 @ 2.76% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 2.07% ( -0.13)2-4 @ 1.78% ( -0.15)0-4 @ 1.2% ( -0.06)3-4 @ 1.02% ( -0.11)Other @ 3.16% Total : 39.22% |
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