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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea Under-21s win with a probability of 70.81%. A draw had a probability of 15.7% and a win for Leicester City Under-21s had a probability of 13.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (8.06%) and 2-0 (7.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.43%), while for a Leicester City Under-21s win it was 1-2 (3.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Chelsea Under-21s | Draw | Leicester City Under-21s |
70.81% ( 1.29) | 15.71% ( -0.47) | 13.47% ( -0.82) |
| Both teams to score 63.98% ( -0.46) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 74.62% ( 0.41) | 25.39% ( -0.42) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 54.58% ( 0.54) | 45.42% ( -0.54) |
| Chelsea Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.57% ( 0.33) | 6.43% ( -0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 75.92% ( 0.9) | 24.08% ( -0.91) |
| Leicester City Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.38% ( -0.74) | 31.63% ( 0.74) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.97% ( -0.86) | 68.03% ( 0.86) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chelsea Under-21s | Draw | Leicester City Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 8.82% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 8.06% ( 0.07)2-0 @ 7.66% ( 0.08)3-0 @ 7% ( 0.2)1-0 @ 5.58% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 5.53% ( 0.15)4-0 @ 4.8% ( 0.22)3-2 @ 4.64% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 3.18% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 3.04% ( 0.14)5-0 @ 2.64% ( 0.17)5-2 @ 1.75% ( 0.04)6-1 @ 1.39% ( 0.09)4-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.02)6-0 @ 1.21% ( 0.1)Other @ 4.3% Total : 70.81% | 1-1 @ 6.43% ( -0.19) 2-2 @ 5.07% ( -0.16)0-0 @ 2.03% ( -0.06)3-3 @ 1.78% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.4% Total : 15.71% | 1-2 @ 3.7% ( -0.19) 0-1 @ 2.34% ( -0.11)2-3 @ 1.95% ( -0.1)1-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.1)0-2 @ 1.35% ( -0.09)Other @ 2.72% Total : 13.47% |
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