SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chile win with a probability of 47.9%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Cuba had a probability of 25.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chile win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.23%) and 2-1 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.51%), while for a Cuba win it was 0-1 (8.63%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Chile in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Chile.
| Result | ||
| Chile | Draw | Cuba |
47.9% ( -2.01) | 26.53% ( 0.45) | 25.57% ( 1.55) |
| Both teams to score 47.87% ( 0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.85% ( -0.52) | 56.15% ( 0.52) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.79% ( -0.42) | 77.21% ( 0.43) |
| Chile Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.53% ( -1.13) | 23.47% ( 1.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.51% ( -1.66) | 57.49% ( 1.66) |
| Cuba Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.55% ( 1.11) | 37.45% ( -1.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.77% ( 1.07) | 74.23% ( -1.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chile | Draw | Cuba |
| 1-0 @ 12.74% ( -0.16) 2-0 @ 9.23% ( -0.44)2-1 @ 9.07% ( -0.15)3-0 @ 4.46% ( -0.37)3-1 @ 4.38% ( -0.22)3-2 @ 2.15% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 1.62% ( -0.19)4-1 @ 1.59% ( -0.14)Other @ 2.66% Total : 47.9% | 1-1 @ 12.51% ( 0.21) 0-0 @ 8.79% ( 0.18)2-2 @ 4.45% ( 0.06)Other @ 0.77% Total : 26.52% | 0-1 @ 8.63% ( 0.42) 1-2 @ 6.14% ( 0.28)0-2 @ 4.24% ( 0.33)1-3 @ 2.01% ( 0.15)2-3 @ 1.46% ( 0.06)0-3 @ 1.39% ( 0.15)Other @ 1.7% Total : 25.57% |
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