Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Leon win with a probability of 61.31%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Santos Laguna had a probability of 18.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club Leon win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.35%) and 1-0 (7.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.75%), while for a Santos Laguna win it was 1-2 (5.09%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Club Leon would win this match.