Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Leon win with a probability of 47.57%. A win for Puebla had a probability of 28.44% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club Leon win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.97%) and 0-2 (7.54%). The likeliest Puebla win was 2-1 (7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.2%). The actual scoreline of 5-4 was predicted with a 0% likelihood.
0.56) 
-0.73) 
