SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dunfermline Athletic win with a probability of 39.32%. A win for Inverness Caledonian Thistle had a probability of 34.14% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dunfermline Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.45%) and 2-0 (6.88%). The likeliest Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 0-1 (9.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Dunfermline Athletic | Draw | Inverness Caledonian Thistle |
39.32% ( -0.14) | 26.54% ( 0.03) | 34.14% ( 0.11) |
| Both teams to score 52.18% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.32% ( -0.11) | 52.67% ( 0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.68% ( -0.09) | 74.32% ( 0.09) |
| Dunfermline Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.77% ( -0.13) | 26.22% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.67% ( -0.17) | 61.32% ( 0.17) |
| Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.72% ( 0.01) | 29.27% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.76% ( 0.02) | 65.23% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dunfermline Athletic | Draw | Inverness Caledonian Thistle |
| 1-0 @ 10.27% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.45% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 6.88% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 3.77% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 3.07% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.32% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.26% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.03% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.28% Total : 39.31% | 1-1 @ 12.62% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.68% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 5.19% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.54% | 0-1 @ 9.43% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 7.75% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 5.79% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 3.18% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.37% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.13% ( -0)1-4 @ 0.98% ( 0)Other @ 2.52% Total : 34.14% |
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