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Scottish Championship | Gameweek 33
Apr 13, 2024 at 3pm UK
Penny Cars Stadium
DA

Airdrieonians
2 - 1
Dunfermline

McMaster (45'), Gallagher (63')
Todorov (56')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the Scottish Championship clash between Airdrieonians and Dunfermline Athletic.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Raith Rovers 1-3 Airdrieonians
Tuesday, April 9 at 7.45pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Dunfermline 1-1 Partick
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in Scottish Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Airdrieonians win with a probability of 41.64%. A win for Dunfermline Athletic had a probability of 33.64% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Airdrieonians win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.52%) and 2-0 (6.54%). The likeliest Dunfermline Athletic win was 1-2 (7.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Airdrieonians in this match.

Result
AirdrieoniansDrawDunfermline Athletic
41.64% (-0.325 -0.33) 24.71% (0.182 0.18) 33.64% (0.139 0.14)
Both teams to score 58.23% (-0.595 -0.59)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.19% (-0.797 -0.8)44.81% (0.795 0.8)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.83% (-0.773 -0.77)67.17% (0.771 0.77)
Airdrieonians Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.45% (-0.491 -0.49)21.55% (0.488 0.49)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.38% (-0.756 -0.76)54.62% (0.755 0.76)
Dunfermline Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.22% (-0.294 -0.29)25.77% (0.293 0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.28% (-0.401 -0.4)60.72% (0.4 0.4)
Score Analysis
    Airdrieonians 41.64%
    Dunfermline Athletic 33.64%
    Draw 24.7%
AirdrieoniansDrawDunfermline Athletic
2-1 @ 8.87% (-0.032 -0.03)
1-0 @ 8.52% (0.165 0.16)
2-0 @ 6.54% (0.031 0.03)
3-1 @ 4.54% (-0.085 -0.09)
3-0 @ 3.35% (-0.034 -0.03)
3-2 @ 3.08% (-0.085 -0.09)
4-1 @ 1.74% (-0.06 -0.06)
4-0 @ 1.28% (-0.033 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.18% (-0.05 -0.05)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 41.64%
1-1 @ 11.55% (0.13 0.13)
2-2 @ 6.01% (-0.073 -0.07)
0-0 @ 5.55% (0.189 0.19)
3-3 @ 1.39% (-0.05 -0.05)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.7%
1-2 @ 7.84% (0.021 0.02)
0-1 @ 7.53% (0.193 0.19)
0-2 @ 5.1% (0.089 0.09)
1-3 @ 3.54% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.72% (-0.057 -0.06)
0-3 @ 2.31% (0.021 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.2% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-4 @ 0.92% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 33.64%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Raith Rovers 1-3 Airdrieonians
Tuesday, April 9 at 7.45pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Airdrieonians 3-1 Morton
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Arbroath 1-2 Airdrieonians
Tuesday, April 2 at 7.45pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Ayr 2-1 Airdrieonians
Friday, March 29 at 7.45pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: New Saints 1-2 Airdrieonians
Sunday, March 24 at 4.15pm in Scottish Challenge Cup
Last Game: Airdrieonians 5-2 Arbroath
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Dunfermline 1-1 Partick
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Arbroath 2-3 Dunfermline
Saturday, March 30 at 3pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Morton 0-1 Dunfermline
Saturday, March 23 at 3pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Dunfermline 3-1 Dundee Utd
Friday, March 15 at 7.45pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Raith Rovers 2-0 Dunfermline
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Dunfermline 0-2 Airdrieonians
Tuesday, March 5 at 7.45pm in Scottish Championship


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