SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fatih Karagumruk win with a probability of 54.99%. A win for Kayserispor had a probability of 24.42% and a draw had a probability of 20.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fatih Karagumruk win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.7%) and 2-0 (6.66%). The likeliest Kayserispor win was 1-2 (6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fatih Karagumruk would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fatih Karagumruk | Draw | Kayserispor |
54.99% ( 1.62) | 20.58% ( -0.59) | 24.42% ( -1.03) |
| Both teams to score 66.56% ( 1.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68.95% ( 1.88) | 31.05% ( -1.88) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 47.56% ( 2.2) | 52.44% ( -2.2) |
| Fatih Karagumruk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.48% ( 1.08) | 11.52% ( -1.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 63.59% ( 2.29) | 36.41% ( -2.29) |
| Kayserispor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.22% ( 0.3) | 24.78% ( -0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.65% ( 0.41) | 59.34% ( -0.42) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fatih Karagumruk | Draw | Kayserispor |
| 2-1 @ 9.3% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 6.7% ( 0.23)2-0 @ 6.66% ( -0.11)1-0 @ 6.17% ( -0.38)3-0 @ 4.8% ( 0.12)3-2 @ 4.68% ( 0.2)4-1 @ 3.62% ( 0.27)4-0 @ 2.6% ( 0.17)4-2 @ 2.53% ( 0.21)5-1 @ 1.57% ( 0.18)4-3 @ 1.18% ( 0.11)5-0 @ 1.12% ( 0.12)5-2 @ 1.09% ( 0.13)Other @ 2.99% Total : 54.99% | 1-1 @ 8.6% ( -0.45) 2-2 @ 6.49% ( 0)0-0 @ 2.85% ( -0.31)3-3 @ 2.17% ( 0.11)Other @ 0.46% Total : 20.58% | 1-2 @ 6% ( -0.26) 0-1 @ 3.98% ( -0.39)2-3 @ 3.02% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 2.79% ( -0.1)0-2 @ 2.78% ( -0.25)0-3 @ 1.29% ( -0.1)2-4 @ 1.05% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 0.97% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.53% Total : 24.42% |
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